ENHANCING PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS WITH STACKING AND SYNTHETIC MINORITY OVER-SAMPLING BALANCING

Loice Yator Kutoh, Chrispus Zacharia Oroni, Serem Kenneth Kipruto

Abstract


In the sphere of education, the assessment of student advancement is of utmost importance for educational establishments. These institutions sometimes encounter hurdles such as appraising student performance, conducting academic scrutiny, and foreseeing prospective learning requisites. To tackle these impediments, academic intervention schemes have been put into operation. Accurate prediction regarding student performance not only facilitate the early identification of struggling learners but also assist higher education institutions in their decision-making processes. Consequently, this study introduces a predictive model for the evaluation of scholastic accomplishment. It utilizes XGBoost for the selection of pertinent attributes and employs Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to rectify class imbalances. Furthermore, it employs a stacking ensemble methodology encompassing base models like K-Nearest Neighbors, Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, Decision Trees, Multi-Layer Perceptron, and Logistic Regression to enhance predictive precision. This investigation provides an exhaustive theoretical assessment of models, showcasing practical applications of machine learning in education. With an exceptional 98% precision in the prediction of student performance, this research underscores the capacity of educational institutions to elevate outcomes. This study substantially propels predictive modeling in the realm of education, making a valuable contribution to the field of research.

Key words: Predictive analytics, stacking model, educational data mining, SMOTE, ensemble learning


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